marketshare

No matter how you look at things, it's been a good year for Windows Phone so far. When we talk about CTR (Click Through Rate) and advertising, it's no different and the sun continues to shine. We previously covered Smaato finding advertisements displayed in apps on WP7 outperformed other platforms (iOS and Android especially) with CTR, leading to more potential revenue for developers.

Now Millennial, another advertising firm, has released information (pretty graphs and charts) detailing the number of impressions smartphone operating systems are accumulating through app use. Windows Phone is trailing the competition at 1%, Symbian is at 2%, RIM at 17%, iOS at 27% and Android taking the largest slice of pie at 53%. While this isn't a bright picture for WP7, Millennial states that our platform has increased the number of ad impressions from April to May by 92%. Quite an increase I must say.

Source: Millennial, via: WirelessWeek

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Another month, another comScore report.

Like the previous reports that have come out, this one seems to back up the notion that Microsoft has yet to stop their losses in U.S. marketshare for their mobile OSs (comScore seems to lump Windows Mobile and Windows Phone). Gathered from more than 30,000 mobile subscribers via an online survey, the data seems to be at least consistent.

Looking at April, Microsoft's U.S. marketshare is down to 6.7%. To put that in perspective, we've accumulated the last few months of data from comScore and we can see that just over a year ago, MS had 13.2% of the market and it had steadily declined to 10.2% in August and 8.4% in December. In short, Microsoft's marketshare has dropped 25% since Windows Phone 7's launch in October.

Of course with the aging Windows Mobile, we expect many to abandon the platform for alternatives like Android or...well Android (and looking closely, RIM gained as well over 2010-2011). But the problem Microsoft seems to have is converting old Windows Mobile users to Windows Phone. Then again, some of those high-end users may be attracted to Android's more "open" standards and OS manipulation, which resembles Windows Mobile in many ways. The decline though seems to be slowing a bit, but until that number becomes positive growth, Microsoft still has much area to recover.

Luckily that Nokia, Skype and Mango strategy should pay off by late 2011.

Source: comScore; via WinRumors

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Nielsen has discovered that during last month Android witnessed its first real decline in US marketshare by one percent to 36%. The iPhone fell by a percent too at 26% while Blackberry saw an increase by one to 23%. Windows Phone 7 was shown to be sat at 1% and was tied with Palm OS. According to Nielsen, Windows Mobile still has a huge chunk of marketshare compared to WP7, which settled at 9%.

What's also interesting to note is the data usage per OS. Android is at the top with 582MB worth of bandwidth used, iOS next with 492MB, while WP7 is only at 317MB. This could well be that users on WP7 don't spend as much time online while on the go, which would prove Microsoft's advertising campaign to be correct - Windows Phone does speed up the time for you to get back to real life.

What do you think about the analysis?

Via Slareng

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Here we go again folks, more analyst news! This time it's Gartner's turn with an interesting (and exciting) number of reported sales for WP7 in the first quarter of this year. If this number is true (or somewhat accurate) then this will turn skeptics into believers.

Note that this number doesn't reflect handsets sold to carriers, it shows devices sold to end-users. Interesting to note is that Nokia still head the game with the most market share, but dropping still. A lot is riding on the Nokia + Microsoft partnership, from both parties and these tables display that level of requirement.

Gartner has previously posted predictions of the platform becoming prosperous by 2015. What do you make of these findings?

Source: Gartner

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Not so long ago we wrote up how an analyst predicted the Windows Phone platform to overtake Android by 2015 as the number one smartphone operating system. Now that same analyst, Pyramid Research's Senior Analyst and Practice Leader for Mobile Devices, Stela Bokun, has stated that her findings were misinterpreted and the platform is actually set to take the market by storm in 2013. If that's not wishful thinking then it's an incredible prediction.

But is it far-fetched? A fast exploding Windows Phone might not be such a crazy idea in two years time. We're just behind RIM, iOS is next and then Symbian. RIM is losing marketshare as it is, iOS is failing to keep up with Android and Google's OS is a huge fragmented beast. This is -- of course -- dependant on Microsoft and how they approach their consumer base from here on out, not to mention the Nokia partnership.

Source: Pyramid Research, via: BGR; Thanks, Philipp, for the heads up

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There has been a fantastic, insightful article published at My Nokia Blog today, which summarises how Windows Phone 7 is doing as a platform in the competitive market against the likes of iOS, Android, Symbian etc. We get to look at what countries are currently targeted by Microsoft's marketing campaigns, how a few major languages are supported, estimation of handset sales, marketshare predictions in the US and more.

Microsoft reported it had sold 1.5 million handsets to carriers in mid-December, in late January however they reported a total sale of 2 million units to carriers.
So in about a months time Microsoft managed to sell another 500,000 units to carriers. Why would carriers buy another 500,000 units (a full third of the amount bought a month ago) if the OS was a failure?

Looking at the above quote, I agree. If the OS was a flop, carriers would be extremely cautious - they hate to see any loss, right? We even heard Samsung had to use alternate memory modules to keep up supply with the Focus. Surely the investment would have been made due to the proposed marketshare gain, and at the end of the day this is Microsoft. "OS" is pretty much in their name, so one would assume if anyone could tap into the smartphone marketshare, it would be Microsoft.

The ending conclusion is a fair take on the current state of Windows Phone. It's a new platform and while it's not making a huge impact to competitors, it's certainly not a flop by any means. The post is a must read though, truly recommended.

Source: My Nokia Blog

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Pyramid Research's Senior Analyst and Practice Leader for Mobile Devices, Stela Bokun, has compiled the firm's latest Smartphone Forecast, which reveals some interesting predictions.  The percentage of smartphones sold to end users is expected to rise from 27% of the cell phone market in 2011 (1.46 billion devices) twice that at 53% in 2015.  The growth is attributed to high demand of cheap Android smartphones in developing parts of the world, like Africa and the Middle East, and parts of Western Europe, Asia and North America.

Despite the fact that Android will be the mobile OS at the center of surge, Bokun reports that Windows Phone will actually continue to gain marketshare, until it finally replaces Android at the top in 2015.  You read that correctly.  She asserts that by 2015 Windows Phone will be the #1-selling mobile OS in the world.  While the exact reasoning is not clear, it's a safe assumption that the MS/Nokia deal and Nokia's push to lower pricing on WP7 devices will play a key role.  We've already seen WP7 catch up to the struggling WebOS and expectations that it will overtake Blackberry, though the latter forecast had WP7 at 17.2% to RIM's 16.5%.

Source: BGR

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A lot of talk has been present about Microsoft being in third place overall (market share, apps, developers etc. combined), attempting to catch Apple and Google. A recent survey released by IDC shows a trend for the mobile OS group with developer interest throughout 2010/11 - Microsoft is yet again third.

Although we are ahead of RIM at the last point, we should put away the celebration packs of goodies due to the interest percentage for WP7 falling below what the platform had this time last year. Blackberry suffered a heavier fall and thus WP7 comes out tops, notably due to the Nokia partnership (which will hopefully boost developer interest once they bring handsets to the table).

Also included in the report is a fragmentation chart displaying what developers are most concerned with. Android is a known pray to OS and hardware fragmentation, something which WP7 hasn't had (yet, I've touched wood). The most concern is reportedly skill fragmentation, however. 

So overall, WP7 is still playing the slow catchup and I doubt anything will alter until Nokia devices come into the spotlight, or a good number of contracts end soon and customers wish to go to WP7.

via: WPSauce, CNET

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This is more eye candy than anything else. The chart above states the obvious with HTC owning the WP7 marketshare (along with everything else) by releasing a horde of products. Samsung closely follows behind, surprising since they only offer a single device in America and Europe (Focus and Omnia 7 respectively) - albeit both devices are popular. ASUS is shown to have the smallest chunk of strawberry pie with their limited deployment along with Dell (although is Dell's position down to the hardware/software blunders?).

The chart below shows a device breakdown of popularity, HD7 being the most commonly owned product, followed by the Omnia 7, whey Europe! interesting to see how the hype of each product introduction correlates to the popularity post-deployment. Please note that these charts are estimates only and are by no means accurate.

Source: AdGAC, via: MobileTechWorld

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Research group, Chitika, is reporting that Windows Phone 7 has gained enough of the smartphone market to bring it on par with HP's (Palm's) webOS.  Since February, WP7 has risen from 0.44% to 0.5%, putting it in a virtual tie with webOS' estimated 0.53%, down from 0.84% in the same period.  While this may not seem very impressive at first blush, it is significant because newcomer WP7 is now even, and set to overtake, an already established OS.  Windows Phone has been slowly gaining ground since its launch, while webOS has been steadily declining. 

Chitika predicts that WP7 will potentially spike once it makes its way over to Verizon, though its arrival has seen more than its fair share of delays.  Verizon has worked wonders for market leader, Android, as it accounts for more than half of all Android devices out there.  The slow growth of Windows Phone 7 seems to be less about quality, as most devices seem to receive high marks, and more about accessibility.  Once Big Red gets in the game, it could mean some substantial gains for Microsoft.

Source: 1800PocketPC; Via: Chitika

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WP7 on its way to the #2 spot?

Just on the heels of Ovum's prediction of WP7 overtaking RIM in smartphone market share by 2016, comes more encouraging projections by International Data Corporation (IDC).  In a press release today, IDC's Ramon Llamas said that "by 2015, IDC expects Windows Phone to be number 2 operating system worldwide behind Android."  IDC credits this move up the ladder to Microsoft's partnership with Nokia

"Up until the launch of Windows Phone 7 last year, Microsoft has steadily lost market share while other operating systems have brought forth new and appealing experiences," added Llamas. "The new alliance brings together Nokia's hardware capabilities and Windows Phone's differentiated platform."

Android is expected to remain the top dog, while iOS, Blackberry and others will see a slight drop-off.  IDC estimates that worldwide smartphone market will grow at four times the rate of mobile phones and is expected to increase from 303.4 million smartphones shipped to over 450 million, a rise of 49.2%.

Whether WP7 flourishes or crashes and burns, it seems that the outcome of the deal with Nokia will be a key determining factor.

Source: International Data Corporation; Graph Picture:FinkOrSwim

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A few months ago, we looked at how Bing was performing above par in comparison to Google, and was growing in marketshare between the months of November and December. We calculated the majority of the increase due to Windows Phone 7 launch with Bing being the used search engine. Now, in the month of March, we can take a quick look back at January and February.

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We have witnessed the sheer depth of Microsoft’s budget when it comes to advertising and marketing campaigns, but who would have guessed they would be providing Nokia $1 billion for them to further promote and develop Windows Phone 7? The partnership between the two giants could prove to be what the platform needs to combat Google and Apple with competition.

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With all the latest innovations and releases on the iOS, Android and Windows Phone 7 platforms, I felt as though we should take a minute to sit back, relax, and watch fanboys go berserk over the above images. The funny part? It's all mostly true in a majority of POVs. To use the table you simply look from above as "How [SYSTEM] is seen by [SYSTEM OWNERS]", there are three biased presentations and six humorous interpretations to ease us all into the start of the weekend. 

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Although Windows Mobile is still seeing progress in worldwide numbers, the situation isn't quite as rosy as it might be when it comes to smartphone marketshare. Gartner's new numbers [via Engadget Mobile] show a few distressing trends for WinMo fans.

Firstly, we've long said that even if WinMo isn't #1, there's plenty of space for everybody in the rapidly growing smartphone market. That's still true, but we may need to stop saying the market is 'rapidly growing,' since it had its lowest year-over-year growth ever.

Next up: BlackBerry is clearly holding onto its lead in the US market and RIM still managed to increase their sales over 80%. Apple also grabbed a big old chunk of marketshare (though whether they can hang on without another iPhone 3G-style launch is an open question). Speaking of the iPhone, their big big iPhone 3G sales pushed them past worldwide Windows Mobile shipments for the first time.

Meanwhile, other numbers from Needham & Co [via] basically reiterate the above trends. One notable bit you can glean from the graphs, however, is that it looks pretty clear that the iPhone is hurting RIM more than it is Microsoft -- but that steady downward trend since late 2006 needs to be fixed there Microsoft, and fixed in a hurry.

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When we said that Microsoft is aiming for 40% of the entire smartphone market by 2012, there was a bit of the pooh-poohing. Looks like Microsoft is undeterred in setting high goals and, well, good on them. The latest: they're hoping to grow WinMo 50% within the next year:

Microsoft has optimistically announced that it expects at least 50% growth for Windows Mobile in 2008 and 2009 as smartphone sales rise rapidly.
“Fifty percent growth is the minimum,” says Eddie Wu, the software company's managing director of OEM embedded devices Asia.
Microsoft expects to sell 20 million units in the fiscal year ending in June, far higher than the previous year's 11 million.

That actually seems realistic, truth be told. The key issue, though, is that even if Microsoft reaches the goal of increasing Windows Mobile sales by 50%, that doesn't necessarily mean they'll be picking up any market share because of it. See, the smartphone market is still growing and growing fast (having the majority of people on the planet using phones to access the internet in the near future can do that), so everybody is going to be selling more devices.

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